Forecaster - CDD

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Date: 10 juin 2021

Lieu: Paris, J, FR

Entreprise: Shiseido

Forecaster – Shiseido EMEA – CDD


Who is Shiseido?


At Shiseido, we believe that beauty has the power to change the world. It stirs emotions, instils confidence, and gives life to infinite possibilities. In an ever-changing global environment, we keep our fingers on the pulse to perceive and respond to people’s profound need for betterment. We constantly challenge the misconceptions of today for a more beautiful tomorrow. And whether it’s new concepts, new ideas, or the new values we contribute to society – we never stop innovating. We strive to create a better world through beauty innovations. A world where people live in happiness, and beauty is limitless, loving and alive.

Founded in 1872 in Japan, Shiseido is one of the top leading cosmetics companies in the world. We are operating in about 120 countries with 48,000 employees of 70 nationalities. We offer a unique selection of skin care, makeup and fragrance.


What will be your main responsibilities?


Lead the whole forecasting process for a list of brands/markets on the short/mid/long term horizon


Generate & calibrate the statistical forecast in IBP for specific Markets (Export, Switzerland, Benelux) :

    • Compare and select the best statistical model, algorithms & trends parameters
    • Adjust calculation rules according to product life cycle models
    • Correct historical sales and analyze forecast error to smooth future statistical forecast
    • Activate corrective action plan to improve Forecast Accuracy
    • Enrich demand plan with specific local information (market intelligence) (specific events, distribution change, cannibalization) based on marketing strategies


Analyze and challenge Markets forecast consistency (markets with Local Forecasters) :

    • Identify & share the skus for which corrective action needs to be activated to improve Forecast Accuracy
    • Analyze & share trends/skus recommendations to Markets, with cross segmentation ABC/XYZ
    • Analyze & suggest carry over for next months, based on over/under consumption
    • Co-lead with local forecasters to identify areas to close gaps between Forecast-Budget
    • Support the assortment rationalization by recommending slow movers per Brand
    • Validate Markets forecast from Regional perspective to be sent to production
    • Lead the Regional reconciliation between forecast and financial budget :
    • In volumes : participate in Budget exercise to estimate projection in volumes per Line/Subline
    • In value Gross Sales : identify the gaps per Line/Subline, action corrective plans to close the gap
    • Liaise with markets to escalate gaps/root cause/next steps in Regional S&OP process


Co-animate the monthly Demand Review meeting (direct connection with Local Forecasters) :

    • Ensure that Brand guidelines are applied by Markets & understand the misalignments vs Markets
    • Understand & rechallenge the Market key facts : local business update (share markets, COVID, economics), Forecast Accuracy (root cause, action plan, next steps), market intelligence (changes vs previous month, impact on Forecast), launch performance (alert about over/under consumption and action plan), financial reconciliation (analyze & list risks/opportunities to close the gap between Forecasts and budget)
    • Participate actively in S&OP process in EMEA & with Brandholder : prepare & share Forecast KPIs & Reconciliation


Who are you?


  • Graduated of a Master Degree
  • Previous professional experience in Forecast / Demand Planning
  • Solid Excel expertise
  • Strong analytics competencies with huge numbers of data
  • Proactivity
  • Good communication and relational skills
  • Alignment with the Group’s Trust 8 working principals : Think Big, Take Risks, Hands on, Collaborate, Be Open, Act with Integrity, Be accountable, Applaud Success